Alarming Study Warns of Potential 7.0-Magnitude Earthquakes in Turkey

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- Turkey experiences roughly three major earthquakes every 20 years
A recent Turkish study, circulated by local media, described the country's seismic activity as “alarming,” focusing on patterns in the Earth’s crust over historical times.
The research indicates that Turkey sees about three significant quakes every two decades, while the nation is still recovering from the devastating February 6, 2023 earthquake.
Scientists continue to study the 2023 quake’s aftermath and are monitoring seismic activity across the country, seeking to understand the large Marmara earthquake from multiple perspectives.
Academician and geologist Muhammed Ali Kaya, speaking at the “Earthquake Reality in Turkey” conference, shared concerning statistics: “An earthquake over magnitude 4 on the Richter scale occurs in Turkey roughly every 10 days.”
He added that major earthquakes are defined as those measuring 7 or higher on the Richter scale.
Kaya noted that over the past 125 years, Turkey has experienced 19 earthquakes exceeding magnitude 7—averaging roughly three major quakes per 20 years.
He highlighted that the earthquakes centered in Kocaeli and Düzce in 1999, Van in 2010, and Marmara in 2023 account for five major quakes in the past 26 years. “Recognizing this reality, necessary precautions must be taken,” Kaya emphasized, stressing the importance of preventive preparedness.
